The Russian army is staging intense but so far ineffective attacks in Ukraine’s east using newly drafted soldiers, a Ukrainian general and western analysts say, as Moscow tries to improve its faltering positions with hastily trained troops.
Russia is pouring the new conscripts to the front line in an attempt to halt recent Ukrainian advances while rebuilding ground forces decimated during eight months of the war. Military analysts had predicted the deployment of Russian men after a chaotic mobilisation in September to front-line areas during autumn, with high numbers of casualties expected.
General Valeriy Zaluzhnyi, the commander of the Ukrainian military, said in a statement posted on the Telegram messaging app on Thursday that Russian forces had tripled the intensity of attacks along some parts of the front. He did not say what the time frame was or where the attacks were coming from.
Russian forces are staging up to 80 assaults per day, General Zaluzhnyi said in the statement, which described a telephone conversation with an American general, Christopher G. Cavoli, the Supreme Allied Commander in Europe.
“We discussed the situation at the front,” General Zaluzhnyi wrote. Ukrainian forces, he said he had told his US colleague, were beating back the attacks, “thanks to the courage and skills of our warriors.”
An assessment from the Institute for the Study of War, a Washington-based analytical group, also said that the increase in the infantry in the Donbas region in the east has not resulted in Russia’s gaining new ground.
Seeking a quick advance, it said, the Russian army was “wasting the fresh supply of mobilised personnel on marginal gains” by attacking before massing sufficient soldiers to ensure success. The attacks were directed at several towns and villages, including Bakhmut and Avdiivka.
“Russian forces would likely have had more success in such offensive operations if they had waited until enough mobilised personnel had arrived to amass a force large enough to overcome Ukrainian defences,” the institute said in a statement on Thursday.
The scale of Russian losses in these infantry advances is uncertain. The institute described the advances as “impaling” ill-prepared units on well-dug-in defen sive positions of Ukraine’s battle-hardened troops. The Ukrainian military’s estimates of Russian casualties are seen to be inflated, but the relative increase in the reported numbers suggests a rising toll.
New York Times News Service
